000 03516cam a2200433 i 4500
001 2013034007
003 DLC
005 20190729105430.0
008 130823s2014 nyua b 001 0 eng
010 _a 2013034007
020 _a9780374175344 (hbk.))
020 _a0374175349
_qhardback
020 _z9780374711399 (ebk.)
042 _apcc
040 _aDLC
_beng
_erda
_cDLC
_dDLC
_dMvI
050 0 0 _aQA273
_b.H3545 2014
082 0 0 _a519.2
_223
084 _aMAT029000
_aBUS061000
_aBUS063000
_2bisacsh
100 1 _aHand, D. J.
_q(David J.),
_d1950-
245 1 4 _aThe improbability principle :
_bwhy coincidences, miracles, and rare events happen every day /
_cDavid J. Hand.
250 _aFirst edition.
264 1 _aNew York :
_bScientific American/Farrar, Straus and Giroux,
_c2014.
300 _axii, 269 pages :
_billustrations ;
_c24 cm
336 _atext
_2rdacontent
337 _aunmediated
_2rdamedia
338 _avolume
_2rdacarrier
520 _a"An eye-opening and engrossing look at rare moments, why they occur, and how they shape our world In The Improbability Principle, the renowned statistician David J. Hand unveils his groundbreaking argument that extraordinarily rare events are in fact commonplace. Weaving together fascinating new ways to think about chance, Hand highlights his "law of near enough," the "look elsewhere effect," and more, doing for probability what Newton's laws of motion did for mechanics. Through humorous and engaging tales of two-time lottery winners, gambling gone wrong, and bizarre coincidences that we can't quite fathom, Hand argues that extremely unlikely events must happen, and no mystical or supernatural explanation is necessary to understand why. Hand's investigation, grounded in statistics and brought to life with fascinating anecdotes, finally explains "unexplainable" events such as unexpectedly bumping into a friend in a foreign country and coming across an unfamiliar word twice in one day. Along the way, we learn what the Bible and Shakespeare have in common, just how to win the lottery, why financial crashes are par for the course, and why lightning does strike the same place (and the same person) more than once. As Hand makes clear, we can rest assured that we'll experience a "miracle" roughly once per month. An irresistible adventure into the laws behind chance moments, The Improbability Principle transforms how we think about business decisions, everyday encounters, serendipity, and luck"--
_cProvided by publisher.
520 _a"An eye-opening and engrossing look at rare moments, why they occur, and how they shape our world"--
_cProvided by publisher.
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 247-256) and index.
505 0 0 _tThe mystery --
_tA capricious universe --
_tWhat is chance? --
_tThe law of inevitability --
_tThe law of truly large numbers --
_tThe law of selection --
_tThe law of the probability lever --
_tThe law of near enough --
_tThe human mind --
_tLife, the universe, and everything --
_tHow to use the improbability principle --
_gAppendix A.
_tMind-numbingly large and mind-bogglingly small --
_gAppendix B.
_tRules of chance.
650 0 _aProbabilities.
650 7 _aMATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / General.
_2bisacsh
650 7 _aBUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Statistics.
_2bisacsh
650 7 _aBUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Strategic Planning.
_2bisacsh
948 _au378964
949 _aQA273 .H3545 2014
_wLC
_c1
_hEY8Z
_i33039001337061
596 _a1
903 _a27023
999 _c27023
_d27023