000 | 03516cam a2200433 i 4500 | ||
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001 | 2013034007 | ||
003 | DLC | ||
005 | 20190729105430.0 | ||
008 | 130823s2014 nyua b 001 0 eng | ||
010 | _a 2013034007 | ||
020 | _a9780374175344 (hbk.)) | ||
020 |
_a0374175349 _qhardback |
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020 | _z9780374711399 (ebk.) | ||
042 | _apcc | ||
040 |
_aDLC _beng _erda _cDLC _dDLC _dMvI |
||
050 | 0 | 0 |
_aQA273 _b.H3545 2014 |
082 | 0 | 0 |
_a519.2 _223 |
084 |
_aMAT029000 _aBUS061000 _aBUS063000 _2bisacsh |
||
100 | 1 |
_aHand, D. J. _q(David J.), _d1950- |
|
245 | 1 | 4 |
_aThe improbability principle : _bwhy coincidences, miracles, and rare events happen every day / _cDavid J. Hand. |
250 | _aFirst edition. | ||
264 | 1 |
_aNew York : _bScientific American/Farrar, Straus and Giroux, _c2014. |
|
300 |
_axii, 269 pages : _billustrations ; _c24 cm |
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336 |
_atext _2rdacontent |
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337 |
_aunmediated _2rdamedia |
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338 |
_avolume _2rdacarrier |
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520 |
_a"An eye-opening and engrossing look at rare moments, why they occur, and how they shape our world In The Improbability Principle, the renowned statistician David J. Hand unveils his groundbreaking argument that extraordinarily rare events are in fact commonplace. Weaving together fascinating new ways to think about chance, Hand highlights his "law of near enough," the "look elsewhere effect," and more, doing for probability what Newton's laws of motion did for mechanics. Through humorous and engaging tales of two-time lottery winners, gambling gone wrong, and bizarre coincidences that we can't quite fathom, Hand argues that extremely unlikely events must happen, and no mystical or supernatural explanation is necessary to understand why. Hand's investigation, grounded in statistics and brought to life with fascinating anecdotes, finally explains "unexplainable" events such as unexpectedly bumping into a friend in a foreign country and coming across an unfamiliar word twice in one day. Along the way, we learn what the Bible and Shakespeare have in common, just how to win the lottery, why financial crashes are par for the course, and why lightning does strike the same place (and the same person) more than once. As Hand makes clear, we can rest assured that we'll experience a "miracle" roughly once per month. An irresistible adventure into the laws behind chance moments, The Improbability Principle transforms how we think about business decisions, everyday encounters, serendipity, and luck"-- _cProvided by publisher. |
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520 |
_a"An eye-opening and engrossing look at rare moments, why they occur, and how they shape our world"-- _cProvided by publisher. |
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504 | _aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 247-256) and index. | ||
505 | 0 | 0 |
_tThe mystery -- _tA capricious universe -- _tWhat is chance? -- _tThe law of inevitability -- _tThe law of truly large numbers -- _tThe law of selection -- _tThe law of the probability lever -- _tThe law of near enough -- _tThe human mind -- _tLife, the universe, and everything -- _tHow to use the improbability principle -- _gAppendix A. _tMind-numbingly large and mind-bogglingly small -- _gAppendix B. _tRules of chance. |
650 | 0 | _aProbabilities. | |
650 | 7 |
_aMATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / General. _2bisacsh |
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650 | 7 |
_aBUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Statistics. _2bisacsh |
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650 | 7 |
_aBUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Strategic Planning. _2bisacsh |
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948 | _au378964 | ||
949 |
_aQA273 .H3545 2014 _wLC _c1 _hEY8Z _i33039001337061 |
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596 | _a1 | ||
903 | _a27023 | ||
999 |
_c27023 _d27023 |