Silver, Nate,  1978- <br/><br/>
The signal and the noise :  why most predictions fail-- but some don't / 
Nate Silver. 
 - New York :  Penguin Press,  2012. 
 - 534 p. :  ill. ;  25 cm. 
<br/><br/>Includes bibliographical references and index. 
<br/><br/>A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you. 
<br/><br/> Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction. 
<br/><br/><label>ISBN: </label>9781594204111 (hbk.) 159420411X (hbk.) 
<br/><br/><label>LCCN: </label>2012027308 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>Forecasting.<br/>Forecasting--Methodology.<br/>Forecasting--History.<br/>Bayesian statistical decision theory.<br/>Knowledge, Theory of.
<br/><br/><label>LC Class. No.: </label>CB158  / .S54 2012 
<br/><br/><label>Dewey Class. No.: </label>519.5/42